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10 August 2010

Output growth continued to slow in July, but remained above UK average

Although latest data suggested a slowdown in both North West private sector output and new business growth at the start of the third quarter, the region continued to out-perform the wider UK economy. Meanwhile, employment rose for the first time in three months, albeit only fractionally.

North West private sector output increased markedly in July, extending the current sequence of expansion to fifteen months. However, the seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index – a measure of the combined output of the region’s manufacturing and service sectors – fell to 55.8, from 57.0 in June. Panellists stated that higher activity levels resulted from further gains in new work. The latest rise in output reflected growth in both the manufacturing and service sectors.

Incoming new business to the North West private sector grew strongly in July, albeit at the weakest rate since last November. Anecdotal evidence indicated that greater demand for the region’s goods and services mostly reflected an improved economic environment. By sector, service providers posted a faster increase in new work than manufacturers.

Job creation was recorded in the North West private sector for the first time since April. However, the rate of expansion was only marginal and weaker than the average for the year-to-date. Reports suggested that staffing was increased to accommodate greater business requirements. Data showed that employment growth was concentrated in the manufacturing industry, as service firms continued to reduce staffing.

Companies in the North West private sector cleared backlogs at an accelerated rate in July, aided by slight growth of employment. Outstanding business fell at a solid pace that was the most pronounced for eight months. Firms commented on expanded capacity and efforts to catch up on unfinished work.

Both input and output price inflation slowed during July. However, each measure remained comfortably above its respective long-term trend. According to panellists, higher fuel, wage and raw material costs were the principal sources of upward pressure on input prices. Companies in the manufacturing sector made particular reference to increased prices for steel, paper products and polystyrene.

Steven Broomhead, Chief Executive of the NWDA, said:
“It’s very pleasing to see the Northwest continuing to outperform the UK economy in terms of new business growth, particularly as previous data suggested this would slow. However, while this is encouraging, it is important to recognise that there is no quick fix to economic recovery which is why we must continue to work together in creating the best possible conditions for economic growth.”

-End-
For further information, please contact:
Northwest Regional Development Agency
Neil Roscoe
Public Relations Manager
NWDA
Tel: 01925-400-232
Email: neil.roscoe@nwda.co.uk

Markit   
Gemma Wallace, Economist     Caroline Lumley, Corporate Communications
Telephone +44-1491-461-075    Telephone +44-20-7260-2047
Email gemma.wallace@markit.com   Email caroline.lumley@markit.com


 

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